30
Nov
2010

NCAA Football Rankings – Week 13

Not much in the ways of comments. I’m still lamenting the end to Cal’s season. I will point that my rankings have Cal as a ranked team, largely due to it’s 6th toughest schedule. And there are 2 5-win teams ranked higher than Cal! What’s that really mean? Two things: 1) no way to account for the loss of Riley. So this ranking reflects the whole season, and not how good they are right now (it’s not a power ranking) and 2) maybe my formulas need adjusting. I plan on doing a big article of analysis of the Cal season after the last week of games.

Oh and Jeff Sagarin’s predictor rankings have Cal ranked 28th. His “ELO_CHESS” rankings (which are used as 1/18 of the BCS rankings) have Cal at 28th.

Top 25 Schools:

Rank Last week School Record Points OAAD DAAO SOS Rank SOS Pnts
1 1 Oregon 11-0 2.3856 21.39 -7.88 17 0.86
2 2 Stanfurd 11-1 1.9345 13.93 -10.32 9 0.97
3 4 Auburn 12-0 1.8146 16.83 -5.08 14 0.89
4 3 Boise State 10-1 1.7100 18.28 -14.30 55 0.66
5 6 Arkansas 10-2 1.5993 12.82 -6.37 10 0.91
6 5 Alabama 9-3 1.5984 8.68 -14.51 12 0.90
7 7 Ohio State 11-1 1.5193 11.60 -13.55 62 0.65
8 8 TCU 12-0 1.4556 13.06 -12.61 80 0.55
9 9 S. Carolina 9-3 1.4398 8.36 -11.10 13 0.89
10 13 Oklahoma 10-2 1.3677 11.62 -7.34 24 0.81
11 12 Nebraska 10-2 1.3242 6.58 -9.65 46 0.71
12 10 Oklahoma State 10-2 1.2849 16.23 -1.63 44 0.73
13 16 Wisconsin 11-1 1.2771 14.37 -5.37 54 0.67
14 11 Virginia Tech 10-2 1.2712 8.76 -9.26 56 0.66
15 24 Nevada 11-1 1.2497 14.37 -3.18 76 0.59
16 14 Texas A&M 9-3 1.2489 6.45 -11.12 22 0.83
17 15 Oregon State 5-6 1.2269 1.76 -4.76 4 1.10
18 23 Arizona State 5-6 1.1367 6.16 -5.38 7 1.04
19 20 Missouri 10-2 1.1213 4.26 -12.84 34 0.76
20 27 Florida State 9-3 1.1187 8.37 -8.31 43 0.73
21 19 LSU 10-2 1.1147 3.36 -8.95 15 0.89
22 25 Arizona 7-4 1.0953 4.25 -6.93 8 1.03
23 18 California 5-7 1.0896 -0.30 -7.23 6 1.09
24 17 Iowa 7-5 1.0760 2.61 -11.65 45 0.72
25 21 USC 7-5 1.0698 4.74 -0.57 5 1.09

Dropped from rankings: Florida

Pac-10:

Rank Overall Last week School Record Points OAAD DAAO
1 1 1 Oregon 11-0 (8-0) 2.3856 21.39 -7.88
2 2 2 Stanfurd 11-1 (8-1) 1.9345 13.93 -10.32
3 17 15 Oregon State 5-6 (4-4) 1.2269 1.76 -4.76
4 18 23 Arizona State 5-6 (3-5) 1.1367 6.16 -5.38
5 22 25 Arizona 7-4 (4-4) 1.0953 4.25 -6.93
6 23 18 California 5-7 (3-6) 1.0896 -0.30 -7.23
7 25 21 USC 7-5 (4-4) 1.0698 4.74 -0.57
8 39 44 Washington 5-6 (4-4) 0.7640 -1.45 1.17
9 49 42 Washington St 2-9 (1-7) 0.6852 -5.33 2.70
10 56 50 UCLA 4-7 (2-6) 0.6440 -6.14 1.03

Top 24 Conferences (FBS and FCS*):

Rank Last week Conference Avg points
1 1 Pacific-10 1.2032
2 2 SEC 1.0773
3 3 Big 12 0.8997
4 4 Big Ten 0.8175
5 5 ACC 0.7573
6 6 WAC 0.6823
7 7 Mountain West 0.6236
8 8 Big East 0.5639
9 9 Conference USA 0.3642
10 10 CAA* 0.3168
11 11 MAC 0.2998
12 12 Sun Belt 0.2620
13 13 Missouri Valley* 0.2290
14 14 Big Sky* 0.1988
15 16 Southern* 0.1861
16 15 Great West* 0.1838
17 17 Ohio Valley* 0.1257
18 18 Southland* 0.1227
19 19 Big South* 0.1092
20 20 Ivy* 0.0941
21 23 Patriot League* 0.0924
22 21 Northeast* 0.0851
23 22 SWAC* 0.0830
24 24 Pioneer* 0.0552
25 25 MEAC* 0.0478

Pac-10 predicted finish:

Rank School Conf. Record Overall
1 Oregon 9-0 12-0
2 Stanfurd 8-1 11-1
3 USC 5-4 8-5
4 Arizona 5-4 8-4
5 Washington 5-4 6-6
6 Oregon State 4-5 5-7
7 California 3-6 5-7
8 Arizona State 3-6 5-7
9 UCLA 2-7 4-8
10 Washington St 1-8 2-10

Weekend predictions

  • @Arizona 27 – Arizona State 23
  • Oregon 43 – @Oregon St 19
  • Washington 26 – @Washington St 23
  • USC 31 – @UCLA 21

Bowl Projections

  • BCS National Championship: Oregon v. Auburn
  • Rose Bowl: No Pac-10 team available by rule
  • Tostitos Fiesta Bowl: Stanfurd v. Oklahoma
  • Valero Alamo Bowl: Arizona v. Oklahoma St.
  • Bridgepoint Education Holiday Bowl: Washington v. Missouri
  • Hyundai Sun Bowl: No Pac-10 team available
  • MAACO Las Vegas Bowl: No Pac-10 team available
  • Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl: No Pac-10 team available
«
»

Blog Archives

Recent Bookmarks

Books I’m Reading

Latest Tweets