24
Nov
2010

NCAA Football Rankings – Week 12

Several things of interest this week. First, my numbers have Stanford as not only the best one-loss team in the country (as many real sports analysts are saying) but as the second best team overall! Could you imagine if the BCS rankings reflected mine?? Oh man, the media would have a field day.

Next, I have Auburn winning the SEC title game, but losing to Alabama this weekend (barely). So that means that either TCU or Boise State could sneak into the title game. My rankings say it should be Boise State, and I think after they beat Nevada this weekend (40-28 I predict), I think the BCS rankings will agree with me.

Lastly, Cal is going to win this weekend and become bowl eligible. Considering how many Pac-10 teams won’t become bowl eligible, that means Cal will probably get a pretty good bowl.

Top 25 Schools:

Rank Last week School Record Points OAAD DAAO SOS Rank SOS Pnts
1 1 Oregon 10-0 2.3118 20.91 -8.70 17 0.83
2 4 Stanfurd 10-1 1.8531 14.31 -9.00 8 0.93
3 5 Boise State 10-0 1.7403 19.40 -14.28 68 0.60
4 2 Auburn 11-0 1.7400 17.02 -5.15 16 0.83
5 3 Alabama 9-2 1.6106 9.46 -15.01 22 0.81
6 8 Arkansas 9-2 1.5361 12.79 -6.69 13 0.88
7 7 Ohio State 10-1 1.4980 12.92 -12.39 58 0.65
8 6 TCU 11-0 1.4767 12.52 -14.19 71 0.58
9 10 S. Carolina 8-3 1.3779 8.23 -10.95 11 0.90
10 9 Oklahoma State 10-1 1.3283 16.03 -2.67 56 0.66
11 16 Virginia Tech 9-2 1.2754 9.04 -8.61 50 0.69
12 13 Nebraska 9-2 1.2477 5.90 -10.22 44 0.71
13 23 Oklahoma 9-2 1.2275 10.76 -7.77 30 0.76
14 20 Texas A&M 8-3 1.2135 7.09 -11.14 18 0.82
15 25 Oregon State 5-5 1.2099 3.98 -4.54 7 1.02
16 17 Wisconsin 10-1 1.2043 12.21 -5.53 53 0.67
17 18 Iowa 7-4 1.1530 4.11 -12.92 39 0.73
18 12 California 5-6 1.1374 2.21 -7.77 4 1.08
19 15 LSU 10-1 1.1227 3.76 -9.67 19 0.82
20 22 Missouri 9-2 1.0994 4.74 -12.89 27 0.78
21 11 USC 7-4 1.0902 5.92 -0.44 5 1.08
22 28 Florida 7-4 1.0775 8.65 -8.33 21 0.81
23 19 Arizona State 4-6 1.0664 4.14 -7.63 6 1.07
24 24 Nevada 10-1 1.0540 14.09 -2.14 87 0.48
25 14 Arizona 7-3 1.0515 3.45 -7.56 10 0.90

Dropped from rankings: Miami (FL)

Pac-10:

Rank Overall Last week School Record Points OAAD DAAO
1 1 1 Oregon 10-0 (7-0) 2.3118 20.91 -8.70
2 2 4 Stanfurd 10-1 (7-1) 1.8531 14.31 -9.00
3 15 25 Oregon State 5-5 (4-3) 1.2099 3.98 -4.54
4 18 12 California 5-6 (3-5) 1.1374 2.21 -7.77
5 21 11 USC 7-4 (4-4) 1.0902 5.92 -0.44
6 23 19 Arizona State 4-6 (2-5) 1.0664 4.14 -7.63
7 25 14 Arizona 7-3 (4-3) 1.0515 3.45 -7.56
8 42 39 Washington St 2-9 (1-7) 0.7450 -4.56 2.60
9 44 50 Washington 4-6 (3-4) 0.7034 -0.52 2.52
10 50 43 UCLA 4-6 (2-5) 0.6698 -7.33 -1.79

Top 24 Conferences (FBS and FCS*):

Rank Last week Conference Avg points
1 1 Pacific-10 1.1838
2 2 SEC 1.0764
3 3 Big 12 0.8856
4 4 Big Ten 0.8148
5 5 ACC 0.7444
6 7 WAC 0.6533
7 6 Mountain West 0.6260
8 8 Big East 0.5302
9 9 Conference USA 0.3698
10 10 CAA* 0.3409
11 11 MAC 0.2998
12 12 Sun Belt 0.2580
13 13 Missouri Valley* 0.2436
14 14 Big Sky* 0.2077
15 16 Great West* 0.1963
16 15 Southern* 0.1952
17 17 Ohio Valley* 0.1347
18 18 Southland* 0.1344
19 19 Big South* 0.1123
20 21 Ivy* 0.0952
21 20 Northeast* 0.0942
22 23 SWAC* 0.0868
23 22 Patriot League* 0.0868
24 24 Pioneer* 0.0603
25 25 MEAC* 0.0526

Pac-10 predicted finish:

Rank School Conf. Record Overall
1 Oregon 9-0 12-0
2 Stanfurd 8-1 11-1
3 USC 5-4 8-4
4 Arizona 5-4 8-4
5 California 4-5 6-6
6 Washington 4-5 5-7
7 Oregon State 4-5 5-7
8 Arizona State 3-6 5-7
9 UCLA 2-7 4-8
10 Washington St 1-8 2-10

This weeks predictions:

  • @Arizona State 31 – UCLA 10
  • @Oregon 41 – Arizona 18
  • @California 33 – Washington 15
  • @Stanfurd 38 – Oregon State 21
  • Notre Dame 26 – @USC 25

Bowl Projections

  • BCS National Championship: Oregon v. Boise State
  • Rose Bowl: Stanfurd v. Ohio State
  • Valero Alamo Bowl: Arizona v. Oklahoma
  • Bridgepoint Education Holiday Bowl: Cal v. Missouri
  • Hyundai Sun Bowl: No Pac-10 team available
  • MAACO Las Vegas Bowl: No Pac-10 team available
  • Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl: No Pac-10 team available
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