16
Nov
2010

NCAA Football Rankings – Week 11

A close win over Cal didn’t hurt the #1 Oregon Ducks in my rankings (nor in the BCS), but it did help Cal a lot. On the other hand, a near loss to San Diego St by the Horned Frogs dropped them all the way to 6th, despite having a perfect record. Why? Look at Oregon’s strenth-of-schedule (SOS) as I see it. Look at Boise State’s and TCU’s. Oregon’s is going to continue to go up too.

And speaking of SOS, Oregon State does not have the number one toughest schedule anymore (a position they had held as long as I’ve been doing SOS this season). It was the addition of Washington St, that hurt it. But finishing the season with USC, Stanfurd, and Oregon will probably bump it back to #1. Right now, Washington is listed as the toughest schedule in the country!

Also, you might note that I now have WSU listed as the #8 team in the Pac-10. Way to go Cougs! But I still have them finishing last in the Pac-10.

Top 25 Schools:

Rank Last week School Record Points OAAD DAAO SOS Rank SOS Pnts
1 1 Oregon 10-0 2.5239 20.57 -9.03 18 0.83
2 3 Auburn 11-0 1.8165 17.25 -4.18 20 0.82
3 6 Alabama 8-2 1.5827 7.04 -13.73 14 0.84
4 5 Stanfurd 9-1 1.5818 12.28 -8.86 9 0.97
5 4 Boise State 9-0 1.5787 18.50 -12.22 77 0.55
6 2 TCU 11-0 1.5718 12.54 -14.01 74 0.56
7 8 Ohio State 9-1 1.4379 13.73 -11.82 68 0.60
8 9 Arkansas 8-2 1.4210 11.87 -6.73 12 0.86
9 10 Oklahoma State 9-1 1.3294 16.45 -2.54 48 0.69
10 21 S. Carolina 7-3 1.3206 5.62 -10.73 10 0.94
11 13 USC 7-3 1.2606 8.24 -1.79 4 1.09
12 27 California 5-5 1.2245 2.54 -9.29 6 1.05
13 7 Nebraska 9-1 1.1910 6.79 -8.72 59 0.64
14 15 Arizona 7-3 1.1550 3.00 -8.02 11 0.89
15 14 LSU 9-1 1.1453 3.68 -10.92 19 0.83
16 22 Virginia Tech 8-2 1.1432 8.46 -8.45 57 0.65
17 23 Wisconsin 9-1 1.1345 12.12 -5.58 49 0.67
18 12 Iowa 7-3 1.1342 5.24 -12.53 52 0.67
19 19 Arizona State 4-6 1.1140 4.06 -7.41 5 1.06
20 24 Texas A&M 7-3 1.1127 8.43 -9.20 30 0.76
21 28 Miami (FL) 7-3 1.1104 6.84 -10.59 39 0.72
22 17 Missouri 8-2 1.1047 6.46 -11.36 33 0.74
23 26 Oklahoma 8-2 1.0865 8.77 -6.99 36 0.73
24 16 Nevada 9-1 1.0818 14.17 -2.32 83 0.51
25 11 Oregon State 4-5 1.0593 3.43 -2.70 7 1.04

Dropped from rankings: Florida, Michigan State, Utah

Pac-10:

Rank Overall Last week School Record Points OAAD DAAO
1 1 1 Oregon 10-0 (7-0) 2.5239 20.57 -9.03
2 4 5 Stanfurd 9-1 (6-1) 1.5818 12.28 -8.86
3 11 13 USC 7-3 (4-3) 1.2606 8.24 -1.79
4 12 27 California 5-5 (3-4) 1.2245 2.54 -9.29
5 14 15 Arizona 7-3 (4-3) 1.1550 3.00 -8.02
6 19 19 Arizona State 4-6 (2-5) 1.1140 4.06 -7.41
7 25 11 Oregon State 4-5 (3-3) 1.0593 3.43 -2.70
8 39 49 Washington St 2-9 (1-7) 0.7833 -4.72 2.14
9 43 37 UCLA 4-5 (2-4) 0.7392 -3.83 -2.86
10 50 42 Washington 3-6 (2-4) 0.6516 -0.47 3.73

Top 24 Conferences (FBS and FCS*):

Rank Last week Conference Avg points
1 1 Pacific-10 1.2093
2 2 SEC 1.0527
3 3 Big 12 0.8405
4 4 Big Ten 0.8100
5 5 ACC 0.7524
6 6 Mountain West 0.6231
7 7 WAC 0.6228
8 8 Big East 0.5238
9 9 Conference USA 0.3800
10 10 CAA* 0.3449
11 11 MAC 0.2999
12 12 Sun Belt 0.2787
13 13 Missouri Valley* 0.2486
14 14 Big Sky* 0.2153
15 15 Southern* 0.2094
16 16 Great West* 0.1963
17 17 Ohio Valley* 0.1428
18 18 Southland* 0.1380
19 19 Big South* 0.1121
20 20 Northeast* 0.1005
21 21 Ivy* 0.0964
22 22 Patriot League* 0.0895
23 23 SWAC* 0.0828
24 24 Pioneer* 0.0681
25 25 MEAC* 0.0509

Pac-10 predicted finish:

Rank School Conf. Record Overall
1 Oregon 9-0 12-0
2 Stanfurd 8-1 11-1
3 USC 6-3 9-3
4 Arizona 5-4 8-4
5 California 4-5 6-6
6 Arizona State 3-6 5-7
7 UCLA 3-6 5-7
8 Washington 3-6 4-8
9 Oregon State 3-6 4-8
10 Washington St 1-8 2-10

This weekends predictions:

  • UCLA 25 – @Washington 23
  • Stanfurd 29 – @Cal 21 (But I reeeeeaaally like our chances in this one)
  • USC 30 – @Oregon State 29

Bowl predictions!

  • BCS National Championship: Oregon v. Auburn
  • Rose Bowl: Non-AQ takes Pac-10 spot
  • Valero Alamo Bowl: Stanfurd v. Texas A&M
  • Bridgepoint Education Holiday Bowl: Arizona v. Oklahoma
  • Hyundai Sun Bowl: Cal v. Clemson
  • MAACO Las Vegas Bowl: No Pac-10 team available
  • Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl: No Pac-10 team available
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