09
Nov
2010

NCAA Football Rankings – Week 10

TCU solidified their place in my rankings. Oregon is still blowing everyone out of the water. Cal was dropped from the rankings this week, which I found interesting. My system noted that Cal should have won by more (not knowing about Riley being out).

Bowl eligibility is becoming a big deal. My rankings places Oregon State at #11 in the country right now, but predicts they will not end the season bowl eligible. And in fact, my projections only have four bowl eligible teams! Oregon, Standfurd, Arizona, and Cal (barely). (USC would have been eligible if not for the sanctions)

Top 25 Schools:

Rank Last week School Record Points OAAD DAAO SOS Rank SOS Pnts
1 1 Oregon 9-0 2.4944 22.69 -8.22 24 0.77
2 2 TCU 10-0 1.9050 12.48 -15.59 61 0.63
3 3 Auburn 10-0 1.7046 16.47 -4.39 27 0.77
4 4 Boise State 8-0 1.6582 18.59 -11.62 63 0.62
5 13 Stanfurd 8-1 1.5053 13.47 -8.32 8 0.94
6 7 Alabama 7-2 1.4923 6.75 -13.16 16 0.81
7 6 Nebraska 8-1 1.3768 9.80 -8.40 40 0.71
8 5 Ohio State 8-1 1.3710 14.16 -11.39 71 0.58
9 20 Arkansas 7-2 1.3526 10.63 -7.19 12 0.86
10 23 Oklahoma State 8-1 1.3236 17.24 -2.33 42 0.71
11 9 Oregon State 4-4 1.2616 7.04 -5.30 4 1.12
12 8 Iowa 7-2 1.2363 6.45 -13.12 50 0.69
13 16 USC 6-3 1.1723 8.29 -2.04 5 1.05
14 25 LSU 8-1 1.1555 2.32 -10.23 13 0.86
15 10 Arizona 7-2 1.1537 4.20 -8.24 11 0.87
16 18 Nevada 8-1 1.1066 14.89 -1.84 84 0.50
17 12 Missouri 7-2 1.0984 5.87 -12.26 31 0.75
18 26 Florida 6-3 1.0869 8.79 -7.37 25 0.77
19 27 Arizona State 4-5 1.0766 5.18 -6.13 7 0.98
20 17 Michigan State 9-1 1.0678 5.63 -9.10 65 0.61
21 15 S. Carolina 6-3 1.0655 4.57 -9.51 10 0.87
22 19 Virginia Tech 7-2 1.0562 8.74 -7.47 60 0.63
23 21 Wisconsin 8-1 1.0429 8.27 -5.27 51 0.69
24 38 Texas A&M 6-3 1.0401 7.30 -9.11 32 0.74
25 11 Utah 8-1 1.0396 12.25 -5.05 53 0.67

Dropped from rankings: California, Miami (FL), Oklahoma

Pac-10:

Rank Overall Last week School Record Points OAAD DAAO
1 1 1 Oregon 9-0 (6-0) 2.4944 22.69 -8.22
2 5 13 Stanfurd 8-1 (5-1) 1.5053 13.47 -8.32
3 11 9 Oregon State 4-4 (3-2) 1.2616 7.04 -5.30
4 13 16 USC 6-3 (3-3) 1.1723 8.29 -2.04
5 15 10 Arizona 7-2 (4-2) 1.1537 4.20 -8.24
6 19 27 Arizona State 4-5 (2-4) 1.0766 5.18 -6.13
7 27 22 California 5-4 (3-3) 1.0230 3.04 -6.98
8 37 39 UCLA 4-5 (2-4) 0.8780 -3.91 -4.20
9 42 44 Washington 3-6 (2-4) 0.7538 -1.06 2.36
10 49 54 Washington St 1-9 (0-7) 0.6700 -6.22 2.41

Top 24 Conferences (FBS and FCS*):

Rank Last week Conference Avg points
1 1 Pacific-10 1.1989
2 2 SEC 1.0090
3 3 Big 12 0.8672
4 4 Big Ten 0.7977
5 6 ACC 0.7319
6 5 Mountain West 0.7022
7 7 WAC 0.6349
8 8 Big East 0.5050
9 9 Conference USA 0.3916
10 10 CAA* 0.3397
11 11 MAC 0.3063
12 13 Sun Belt 0.2825
13 12 Missouri Valley* 0.2587
14 15 Big Sky* 0.2084
15 14 Southern* 0.2025
16 16 Great West* 0.2000
17 17 Ohio Valley* 0.1394
18 18 Southland* 0.1342
19 19 Big South* 0.1089
20 20 Northeast* 0.1011
21 21 Ivy* 0.0970
22 22 Patriot League* 0.0921
23 23 SWAC* 0.0774
24 24 Pioneer* 0.0711
25 25 MEAC* 0.0505

Pac-10 predicted finish:

Rank School Conf. Record Overall
1 Oregon 9-0 12-0
2 Stanfurd 8-1 11-1
3 Arizona 6-3 9-3
4 USC 5-4 8-4
5 Oregon State 4-5 5-7
6 California 4-5 6-6
7 Arizona State 3-6 5-7
8 UCLA 3-6 5-7
9 Washington 3-6 4-8
10 Washington St 0-9 1-11

Predicted Scores this weekend:

  • @Oregon St 38 – Washington St 13
  • Oregon 43 – @California 21
  • Stanfurd 34 – @Arizona St 25
  • @Arizona 31 – USC 23

Bowl Projections:

  • BCS National Championship: Oregon v. TCU
  • Rose Bowl: Stanfurd v. Ohio State
  • Valero Alamo Bowl: Arizona v. Oklahoma St
  • Bridgepoint Education Holiday Bowl: California v. Oklahoma
  • Hyundai Sun Bowl: No Pac-10 team available
  • MAACO Las Vegas Bowl: No Pac-10 team available
  • Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl: No Pac-10 team available
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