25
Sep
2010

NCAA Football Rankings – Week 3

Hmmmm. I know my system really doesn’t work until at least half way through the season. However, it’s looking not bad. If you compare it to the official polls, you’ll see a good number of similarities (as well as good number of differences).

(For you bigger nerds out there who were following my ranking strategy, the games-played graph is still not connected; however there are only two disjoint groups (and one of them only has 3 teams). So it might not be that big of a deal.)

Also you may have notice an interesting comment on the week 2 rankings. Initially, I agreed with “judas_priest” regarding the point curving. But now I’m second-guessing that idea. Here’s the reason: say FBS team A pummels FCS team B 38-0 in week 1. Say B is actually pretty decent as far as FCS teams go, and continues on to have a decent run in their conference. Now it may appear that A did pretty well against an ok team. Based on judas_priest’s suggestion, I should actually view the score as 91.1-0 (=(38-21)^1.5+21). His reasoning (which is sound) is that when the score differential became greater than 21, Team A put their second team in, and didn’t score as much as they would have. My issue with this idea now, is that it would now look even better in regards to Team A, when realistically, they played an FCS team, so it wasn’t that big of a deal. I’m gonna keep playing around with this some more, and might suddenly decide to use it one random week. I’ll let you know if I do.

Anyway, click “continue reading” to see my rankings right now. (Note: these rankings don’t include the Miami-Pitt game from last night, or the TCU-SMU game going on right now).

Top 25 Schools (FBS and FCS*):

Rank Last week School Record Points
1 3 Alabama 3-0 2.7726
2 1 Stanfurd 3-0 2.5654
3 11 Ohio State 3-0 1.9979
4 6 Arizona 3-0 1.7632
5 53 Virginia tech 1-2 1.6662
6 45 Fresno State 2-0 1.5061
7 174 Iowa 2-1 1.4430
8 25 Penn State 2-1 1.4343
9 9 Oregon 3-0 1.4292
10 103 Nevada 3-0 1.3975
11 21 NC State 3-0 1.3737
12 86 Boise State 2-0 1.3474
13 54 Cincinnati 1-2 1.2818
14 2 Texas A&M 3-0 1.2579
15 27 Miami (FL) 1-1 1.1933
16 10 S. Carolina 3-0 1.1599
17 37 TCU 3-0 1.0973
18 55 James Madison* 2-0 1.0960
19 48 Temple 3-0 1.0777
20 258 Oklahoma State 3-0 1.0511
21 154 Nebraska 3-0 1.0411
22 75 FIU 0-2 1.0393
23 20 Rutgers 2-0 1.0094
24 8 Michigan 3-0 1.0079
25 69 Central Mich 2-1 0.9587

Dropped from the rankings: Oklahoma, Utah State, Baylor, California, North Dakota St, Notre Dame, Massachusetts, William & Mary, Texas, Michigan State, Missouri, Kansas, Arizona State, Purdue

Pac-10:

Rank Overall Last week School Record Points
1 2 1 Stanfurd 3-0 (1-0) 2.5654
2 4 6 Arizona 3-0 (0-0) 1.7632
3 9 9 Oregon 3-0 (0-0) 1.4292
4 28 23 Arizona State 2-1 (0-0) 0.8622
5 30 26 UCLA (0-1) 1-2 0.8517
6 43 98 Oregon State 1-1 (0-0) 0.7025
7 52 12 California 2-1 (0-0) 0.6110
8 107 34 USC 3-0 (0-0) 0.2980
9 146 227 Washington 1-2 (0-0) 0.2033
10 148 275 Washington St 1-2 (0-0) 0.1987

Top 24 Conferences (FBS and FCS*):

Rank Last week Conference Avg points
1 Pacific-10 0.9485
2 SEC 0.8621
3 Big Ten 0.8217
4 WAC 0.7319
5 Big 12 0.6794
6 ACC 0.6529
7 Big East 0.5561
8 MAC 0.4254
9 Mountain West 0.4114
10 Big Sky* 0.3688
11 Sun Belt 0.3570
12 CAA* 0.3523
13 Conference USA 0.3465
14 Southern* 0.3022
15 Missouri Valley* 0.2018
16 MEAC* 0.1773
17 Ohio Valley* 0.1764
18 Great West* 0.1518
19 Northeast* 0.1425
20 Pioneer* 0.1212
21 Big South* 0.1138
22 Southland* 0.1070
23 Patriot League* 0.1018
24 Ivy* 0.0894
25 SWAC* 0.0794
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